Saturday, 25 June 2016

Eltham for Exit in UK's EU Referendum 2016

On Thursday 23 June all eligible Brits trundled off to vote at their local church hall, school or in my case, portacabin, to place their 'X' against whether the UK should remain part of the EU. We all know how that ended:

Source: BBC
The actual date of the referendum had been known since 20 February 2016, the day PM David Cameron had announced it. Before that, it was on 22 January 2013 that he had gambled in announcing that if the Conservatives won the next 2015 election they would seek to renegotiate the UK's relationship with the EU and then give the British people the "simple choice" by the end of 2017 between staying in the EU under those terms or leaving the EU.

Source: BBC
It is commonly accepted that, rather than apolitical concerns about 'giving the people a choice', it was concerns about UKIP gaining ground and pressure from within the Tory party which had led Cameron to take this huge risk. It was this throw of the dice, which ironically may have helped him win the 2015 election, that ultimately led to his resignation announcement on 24 June 2016, the day after his referendum defeat.

I write two days after the referendum when I, along with the rest of a shocked country, am still taking in the results. Many of us who had to be up the day after EU Referendum Day blearily closed down our tablets at 12.30am that night, hearing that the 'Remains' seemed likely to win over the 'Brexiters' albeit by a small margin. Having inched ahead a couple of weeks earlier, the mood of the country had seemed to change after the terrible death of MP Jo Cox on 16 June. It wasn't a seismic change. Despite the outpouring of grief for this popular 'Remain' MP, one felt that people were still sticking to their positions. The Brexiters upped the ante on their anti-immigration rhetoric (Farage had unveiled his vile 'Breaking Point' poster on 16 June) and Turkey bogeyman dog-whistles, while Remain, well er... continued to stress the benefits to the UK economy.

When, even more bleary-eyed at 5.30am the next morning, I immediately reached for my smartphone and saw the shock result, I admit I uttered an F-word to my equally surprised (though always unflappable) husband who then knew it was serious because I rarely swear.

Turning on the BBC I saw Farage's triumphant speech claiming the result as a victory for "real people, for the ordinary people, for the decent people". When I tracked down the Greenwich borough results, it seems our borough was full of unreal, unordinary and indecent people. The overall borough result was 55.5% remain - 44.4% leave. However the breakdown of results for each of the 17 wards wasn't openly available - only via those attending the count on the night. (Next day update: ward results available now on Royal Greenwich website.)

Luckily obtained the results (from @5tewartChristie) and they are posted on his 853 blog with excellent analysis.

 
All four Eltham wards voted leave, with only two others (Abbey Wood and Plumstead) doing the same. The 853 blog points out how Eltham has often behaved differently to the rest of the borough in elections - certainly Eltham has often the only wards returning Tory Councillors to the Council.

With Cameron's resignation, the way is clear for a more right-wing 'Brexit' government, set to be in place by the October Tory party conference, with the obvious top candidates being Boris Johnson and Michael Gove (leading Brexiters) and Theresa May (officially a Remainer, but a very quiet one...wonder why). No one has heard a word yet from Cameron's side-kick George Osborne.



Since then there's been talk of healing, building bridges and moving on - a lot of transformational journey metaphors. Anyone saying naughty things (i.e. having a heated go at the 'other side') is being outed and shamed on social media by presumably far more decent people. In some cases this is even extending to those expressing the view that the EU Referendum was really ultimately about immigration for many voters. Understandably many Brexiters are sensitive to charges of having run a xenophobic campaign, preferring instead to stress the democracy and sovereignty issues.

I've been thinking about the effect on one-time colleagues in higher education. I know that last Friday UK universities everywhere will have been focusing on the implications of our EU exit on their research funding, on their existing EU students and on their potential future EU students.Will EU students have 'overseas' status in future and, if so, will they still come? It was sobering to see the Times Higher Education's estimate of the "academic subjects most dependent on EU funding and now facing huge funding cuts":


This doesn't bode well for some of our south-east London universities, e.g. Goldsmiths and Greenwich, which offer these subjects.

Much analysis continues about the forthcoming EU exit negotiations, which PM the Tory membership will give us, whether the UK will break up and whether Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn will face a coup and replacement. Perhaps to be ready for an election earlier than the Fixed Parliament Act- decreed 2020 date?

Sunday, 19 June 2016

'Allo Eltham, "Good Moaning"

On Friday night we went to see the latest sell-out play by local amateur dramatics company, the Priory Players. The much-loved TV comedy 'Allo 'Allo, part of a three night run, was staged at the Progress Hall, in the heart of the Eltham's famed Progress Estate. That Estate was thrown up to house workers at nearby Woolwich's Royal Arsenal during WWI. However our play was set in WWII, in Nazi-occupied France.

All Brits of a certain age will be familiar with this classic TV sit-com from the 1980s, and perhaps younger ones too who are acquainted with the nostalgic delights of the TV Gold channel.



Here's how the Priory Players described their play:


Audiences looking for a taste of the TV programme familiar to them were certainly rewarded. All the ingredients of the timeless Lloyd-Croft penned comedy were present  - cue put-upon cafe owner Rene (check), cue much-put-upon wife Edith (check), cue Brits with terrible French accents (check), cue sausage jokes and the "Madonna viz za big boobies" (check) - they, and much more, were all present and correct.

Martin Cooper-Langham's Rene was especially brilliant and gave the much-loved late actor Gorden Kaye, who played the TV Rene, a run for his money, This was just as well because his character carries so many of the scenes and is effectively a narrator for the play, occasionally breaking the 'fourth wall' to address the audience directly with sardonic observations about his latest conundrum.

Margaret Pace played wife Edith very entertainingly and her musical interludes were very welcome. There was a large cast who were all challenged with having to maintain their various accents throughout - French, German and Italian - no easy feat. There was much audience laughter as the farcical plot was played out, with Rene trying to conceal his affairs ("big breast, big breasts, no I mean big breathes, big breathes!"), and Colonel constantly having to deny he was wearing a wig ("no it is a viglet, a viglet!").



The company had done a tremendous job with the period costumes, but most of all in adapting this multi-purpose community hall (my kids used to attend weekly cubs and scouts there!) for their production. The staging was especially brilliant, recreating the cafe to perfection but also using an ingenious theatrical device (which I won't give away...) to give a very effective visual illusion of characters in bed.




We were all undeniably there for the nostalgia but now the laughter, from many quarters at least, was 'ironic' in tone. For if this much-loved comedy set in the past did not command such affection, the anachronism of the comedy, now viewed through the prism of modern eyes, would surely have jarred.

No-one would now set out to write a comedy full of misogynistic mother-in-law and wife-aimed lines, splattered with questionable 'gay humour' and littered with crude national stereotypes. It is also the clever and utterly daft plotting of the original and perhaps above all, the fact that the humour pokes fun at everyone concerned, and in such an unsubtle way, which means it can still entertain audiences today.

Friday, 6 May 2016

'Aint' nothing going on but the rent': London Mayor & London Assembly elections 2016


So we are all waiting for the results. Following fairly uninspiring, though at times controversial campaigns ("It's ugly and dangerous': the inside story of the battle to be London mayor."), we are told to expect during this evening the results of the Mayor of London & London Assembly elections.

Sadiq Khan (Labour) and Zac Goldsmiths (Conservative) have slugged it out for the Mayoral position, to succeed Boris Johnson, while numerous others have competed for the 25 London Assembly places. While we've been bombarded with how #KhanCan and why we should #BackZac, and on the face of it there are so many important issues facing one of the most important cities in the world, others have questioned just how much power the Mayor actually has ("Message To The Next Mayor: Show Us Why We Should Care").

But don't hold your breath on the results. Four years ago, just after the 2012 London elections, I wrote at the time:
"Despite a result promised early in the evening, especially given the low turnout, we were kept on tenterhooks until almost midnight. During this time, the result kept being expected 'in about half an hour' but was constantly pushed back, with tales of 'lost and found' ballot boxes and the electronic counting machine failing...."
Despite a low turnout predicted again this time, I wonder when the results will be in, perhaps especially given one or two electoral irregularities ("Angry London voters including Britain’s Chief Rabbi were turned away from polling stations today after a huge blunder hit thousands in the mayoral election."). This is a terrible happening in any circumstances, but given the current sensitivities around antisemitism, it's not good news...of all the constituencies, of all the voters, comes to mind...

Although polls predict a Khan win, many are wary of counting their chickens given the epic fail of the general election polling a year ago. And there are predictions of a low turn out, not thought to be good for Khan. So it could be close. Just like the 2012 Mayoral election in fact when Boris won by a narrow margin of only 3%.

So, for now as we wait, for posterity...

These are the 2016 Mayor of London candidates:


with the results for the 2012 Mayoral election:


and the 2012 Greenwich & Lewisham breakdown of these mayoral votes:



The 2016 Constituency London member candidates for Greenwich & Lewisham:
 


with the 2012 results for Constituency London member candidates for Greenwich & Lewisham:
 

 and the 2012 results for how Greenwich & Lewisham voted for their London-Wide AM:

It will be fascinating to compare these to the 2016 results...whenever we get them. It will also, more importantly, be fascinating to see what the new Mayor does with the four years ahead of him.